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Modelling Impacts of Fuel Efficiency Standards
Energeia’s consulting services were contracted by the Electric Vehicle Council (EVC) to develop stock-and-turnover modeling of the Australian road fleet to demonstrate the impact of a fuel efficiency policy.
Background
The Electric Vehicle Council (EVC) is a national advocacy body that represents the electric vehicle industry in Australia, with members across the value chain. The EVC is responsible for advocating to policymakers and regulators in Australia on behalf of these members. As a component of their advocacy, the EVC developed materials in support of a vehicle fuel efficiency standard to align transport decarbonisation policy in Australia with the global community.
The EVC worked to develop an evidence base to demonstrate the impact of vehicle fuel efficiency standards on vehicle emissions by 2050, aligning with Australia’s net zero emissions targets. This evidence base was developed for submission to the federal government’s consultation process regarding the implementation of a fuel efficiency policy.
Modelling the Impact of Fuel Efficiency Policies
Energeia’s consulting services were contracted by the EVC to develop stock-and-turnover forecast modelling of the Australian road fleet to demonstrate the impact of a fuel efficiency policy. Existing constraints within the industry were modelled, including the ability of manufacturers to supply complying vehicles under the forecast uptake trajectory, the availability of fit-for-purpose vehicles by use case, and the availability of public charging infrastructure. Energeia supported this analysis by engaging with vehicle manufacturers to gauge the impact of a fuel efficiency policy on the supply of vehicles. Using our existing evidence-based uptake modelling and leveraging previous work in intelligence and data, Energeia developed analysis for the EVC to demonstrate the forecasted impact of a fuel efficiency standard on light vehicle uptake and emissions by 2050.
Average New Vehicle Tailpipe Emissions by Scenario
Energeia’s data analysis compared the impact of business-as-usual vehicle sales against a sliding scale drop in allowable tailpipe emissions as prompted by 2035 bans on the sales of new emitting vehicles passed by the European Union and the UK. The outcomes demonstrated reduced emissions by 2050 and a lower cost outcome for consumers. Energeia’s results provided guidance to the EVC on the level and type of fuel efficiency to advocate for to the federal government.
For more information or to discuss your specific needs regarding EV data forcasting and modelling, please request a meeting with our team.
For more detailed information regarding key challenges facing electric vehicle uptake, please see Energeia’s Power Session webinars and associated materials.
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For more information or to discuss your specific needs regarding EV data forcasting and modelling, please request a meeting with our team.
For more detailed information regarding key challenges facing electric vehicle uptake, please see Energeia’s Power Session webinars and associated materials.